标题：Modeling Autoregressive Models in Cool Island Effects associated with Remote Telemeter Technology (ASTER) in Taiwan: A GIS Approach
作者：Fang, Wei-Ta; Huang, Yueh-Wen; Han, Guosheng
通讯作者：Huang, YW;Huang, Y.-W.
作者机构：[Huang, Yueh-Wen] Shih Hsin Univ, Dept Tourism, Taipei, Taiwan.; [Fang, Wei-Ta] Chung Hua Univ, Dept Leisure & Recreat Management, Hsinchu, Taiwan.; 更多
会议名称：3rd International Conference on Environmental Science and Information Application Technology (ESIAT)
会议日期：AUG 20-21, 2011
来源：2011 3RD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND INFORMATION APPLICATION TECHNOLOGY ESIAT 2011, VOL 10, PT B
关键词：global warming; microclimate; regression; Taoyuan; time series
摘要：A microclimate is the unique climate of a small-scale region, such as a field or parts of urban or rural areas. The weather variables M a microclimate include temperature, wind, humidity, land forms, and water regimes. In Northern Taiwan's Taoyuan County, irrigation ponds take a long time to heat up during the summer months, keeping these rural areas cooler than surrounding urbanized areas. Based on Geographic Information System (GIS) layers associated with Digital Terrain Modeling (DTM), along with Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) images, this paper examines temperature variables in four counties/cities in Taiwan for the past century. Urban development is found to have contributed to temperature increases, but an understanding of the cooling mechanism is still incomplete. Temperatures in the Taoyuan tableland have declined, at odds with trends in other areas in Taiwan as well as on a global scale. In Taoyuan, the Times-Series Regression Model was used to extrapolated a downward trend from a mean current temperature of 21.3 degrees C currently down to 19.72 degrees C in 2099, assuming the area of irrigation ponds remain unchanged. (C) 2011 Published by Elsevier Ltd. Selection and/or peer-review under responsibility of Conference ESIAT2011 Organization Committee.