标题：A GIS-based high spatial resolution assessment of large-scale PV generation potential in China
作者：Yang, Qing; Huang, Tianyue; Wang, Saige; Li, Jiashuo; Dai, Shaoqing; Wright, Sebastian; Wang, Yuxuan; Peng, Huaiwu
通讯作者：Yang, Qing;Yang, Q;Wang, SG;Li, JD
作者机构：[Yang, Qing; Huang, Tianyue] Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, China EU Inst Clean & Renewable Energy, Wuhan 430074, Hubei, Peoples R China.; [Yang, Qing 更多
会议日期：JUN 05-07, 2018
关键词：Large-scale PV; Resource assessment; Geographic information system;; Renewable energy development
摘要：The achievement of temperature control target requires a low carbon transition of global energy structure. While China is actively promoting the implementation of large-scale PV generation technology, there is still a lack of scientific knowledge of the generation potential in China. To address this deficiency, this study builds a GIS-based model with 600 land conversion factors incorporated to accurately estimate the large-scale PV power generation potential in China. The results show a potential installed capacity of 1.41 x 10(5) GW, corresponding to an annual power generation of 1.38874 x 10(14) kWh or 21.4 times national electricity consumption in China 2016. If this potential were fully realized as a replacement for current fossil fuel-based power generation in China 2030, a reduction in China's carbon intensity of 63-68% compared to 2005 would result, which is sufficient to meet China's CO2 emission reduction commitment. On a provincial level, while generation potential in Northwest and Inner Mongolia together account for 86% of the total, China's eight economically developed coastal provinces only account for 1%. To achieve a maximum large-scale PV scenario in China 2030, the capacity of inter-regional transmission grids from Northwest region and Inner Mongolia to the regions with insufficient potential should reach an approximate 300 GW. Our study could provide decision-makers with the precise information on large-scale PV power generation map of China, and optimizing low carbon strategies and inter-regional power transmission for achieving sustainable development.