标题：DEVELOPING URBAN LOW-CARBON TRANSPORT SYSTEM IN DEVELOPED CITIES OF CHINA: THE EXAMPLE OF JINAN
作者：Han, Qiang; Zhang, Jiang-Hua; Liu, Yang; Qiu, Bao-Jian
作者机构：[Han, Qiang] Shandong Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Management Sci & Engn, Jinan 250014, Shandong, Peoples R China.; [Zhang, Jiang-Hua; Liu, Yang] Shando 更多
会议名称：4th International Conference on Logistics, Informatics and Service Science
来源：ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT JOURNAL
关键词：causal relationship; low-carbon transport; scenario analysis; transport; system
摘要：Economy depends heavily on transport. Since the overwhelming motor vehicles burn fossil fuels at present, transport system keeps producing CO2, which will speed up the climate change if fossil fuels are consumed excessively. Thus, Jinan, the economic center of China's second developed province, aims to formulate a low-carbon transport system in future. This paper analyzes the causal relationship in transport system and discusses its CO2 emission situation according to the time. In a short term, during the 12th Five-Year Plan, it is concluded by energy saving potential analysis that 4.92 million tonnes of CO2 emissions would be reduced. In the long term, Jinan has the same goal to reduce CO2 emission as the state, so the scenario analysis is applied and four future scenarios are generated according to transport socialization and sustainability. Since it follows the cause and effect diagram, structure adjustment, positive policy, and technology will be helpful to achieve the preferred fourth scenario, based on which, successful measures have been implemented in Jinan.