标题：Analysis and forecast on mid-long term electricity market of Shandong province
作者：Wang Chunyi; Mu Hong; Xue Wanlei; Zhao Xin; Zhu Hainan
作者机构：[Wang Chunyi; Mu Hong] Shandong Elect Power Corp, Jinan, Shandong, Peoples R China.; [Xue Wanlei; Zhao Xin] Shandong Elect Power Econ Res Inst, Jina 更多
会议名称：China International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CICED)
会议日期：SEP 23-26, 2014
来源：2014 China International Conference on Electricity Distribution (CICED)
关键词：electricity market; mid-long term; forecast; power system
摘要：The present situation of the economic development, power demand and load characteristics of Shandong province was analyzed in this paper. The economic development was forecasted with the consideration of domestic and foreign macroeconomic situation. The total electricity consumption of Shandong province was predicted by electricity intensity, sub industry forecast, sub-region prediction, regression model and trend extrapolation method. Then, the forecast results were approved The recommend total electricity consumption of the whole society in 2015 and 2020 was provided. The predicted results can provide a reliable basis for Shandong power grid planning and project plan. Moreover, improve the quality and efficiency of Shandong smart grid development.