标题：Simulation of HVDC Transmission System Failure Rate Bathtub Curve Based on Weibull Distribution
作者：Yi, Fengjun; Jia, Chunjuan; Zhang, Weixing; Yang, Xiao; Zhang, Pei
作者机构：[Yi, Fengjun; Jia, Chunjuan; Zhang, Weixing; Yang, Xiao; Zhang, Pei] Shandong Univ, Sch Elect Engn, Jinan 250061, Peoples R China.
会议名称：2nd IEEE International Future Energy Electronics Conference (IFEEC)
会议日期：NOV 01-04, 2015
来源：2015 IEEE 2ND INTERNATIONAL FUTURE ENERGY ELECTRONICS CONFERENCE (IFEEC)
摘要：In view of the failure rate of a component in HVDC transmission system varying with its working time, this paper puts forward a HVDC transmission system reliability indices calculation method considering the elements failure rate changes. In the paper, Combined with the failure times and working time data of components, failure rate bathtub curve based on two-parameter Weibull distribution is established to fit the component failure rate change process. On this basis, time sequential Monte Carlo simulation is used to calculate the reliability indices. The results show that the method is reasonable and feasible through simulation of Eel river DC project.